THREAT & RISK ASSESSMENT BRIEF UPDATE
Brief Update No 25/23 Date: 13 November 2025
STATEMENT
This document has been approved for distribution by SEA GUARDIAN S.G. Ltd / Operations Department. The provided Intel and Information derive from open sources, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), the Joint Maritime Information Center (JMIC) and the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) respective Web Pages and products retrofit the company’s Strategic / Operational and Security situational awareness processes, for risks and threat /impact to the Security of Maritime Operations. All rights reserved, “no part of this risk assessment may be reproduced in any form (electronical, mechanical, paper or other means) without written permission by SEA GUARDIAN S.G. Ltd which maintains the rights for personal data of this document writers. Under no Circumstances can SEA GUARDIAN S.G. Ltd be held responsible for any loss or damage caused by a reader’s reliance on information obtained by this assessment, especially on its firms, company’s management or individual decision-making.
OBJECTIVES
To provide in a 15-day cycle, the maritime industry and Security Stake or Shareholders with:
Political / Strategic-Operational /Info collection “app’s chart snap”
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RECENT KEY DEVELOPMENTS
On November 11,
Lebanese authorities released the son of late Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi
on Monday November 10 after he paid a $900,000 bail, ending his 10-year detention for allegedly withholding information about a missing Lebanese cleric, security officials and a member of his defence team said. One of Hannibal Gadaafi’s lawyers, Charbel Milad al-Khoury, said his client was released after necessary paperwork was finished. “Hannibal is officially free and has the full right to choose the destination that he wants,” al-Khoury said.
He refused to give further details about Gaddafi’s future movements out of security concerns.
MARITIME SECURITY INCIDENTS: October 29 – November 12, 251
1 In accordance to JMIC /or UKMTO sources
THE GEOPOLITICAL PROFILES & INTERNATIONAL SECURITY (G3is)
THREAT ASSESSMENT UPDATE:
Military Operations
Libya – Central Mediterranean
Syria (Middle East issue in East Mediterranean region)
Lebanon (Middle East issue in East Mediterranean region)
Gaza-Israel (Middle East issue in East Mediterranean region)
Sudan-Eritrea–Ethiopia
Red Sea – Yemen
Northern Persian Gulf / Iran-Israel conflict
Terrorism – piracy and also cargo theft, smuggling, stowaways
RISK ASSESSMENT
Gulf of Guinea
East Mediterranean Sea
Suez Canal – Northern Red Sea
Bab-el-Mandeb Straits – Southern Rea Sea
Gulf of Aden – Somalia
Arabian Sea – Gulf of Oman
Hormuz Straits – Persian Gulf
Malacca Straits
Black Sea / East Part
Baltic Sea / West part
Taiwan – Japan Sea
Taiwan – South China Sea
Piracy – Boarding conditions, kidnapping, firing, electronic harassment
OVERALL ASSESSMENT – CONSULTING
ANNEX “B” TO PERIODIC “SECURITY ASSESSMENT”
Usefull links for conflict indexes and picture of piracy attacks in:ACLED and /ICC.
Useful documents / manuals and links
a. For GNSS interference:
/1/ G1082 Ed2.1 An Overview of AIS June 2016
/2/ EUROCONTROL Guidelines on a Process for Civil and Military GNSS Interference Testing
/3/ Global Navigation Satellite System GNSS Radio Frequency Interference
/4/ ICAO GNSS RFI MITIGATION PLAN
b. For other shipping issues:
Companies under sanction by Ukraine (Black Sea):Database Of Legal Entities Under Sanctions
Sea Guardian S.G. Ltd / Intel Department ( / +30 6944373465)
can
support your operational planning, assist in determining the risk assessment and provide assistance in decision making by producing
tailor-made assessments upon request
on ports in the region, on routes, on cargos and specific merchant vessels. You can refer to our previous Threat & Risk assessment analysis briefs for more information and background analysis on the events and situation in the region.
Viewers can read the previous report here below and connect with the present one:
