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Global Trade: emerging markets may reshape the future of Brazilian exports

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As the global trade landscape continues to evolve, Brazil finds itself at a strategic inflection point. With traditional powerhouses such as the United States, China, and the European Union navigating geopolitical tensions and logistical disruptions, new opportunities are emerging for Brazil, and other countries, to diversify its export base, particularly toward fast-growing regions in the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and parts of sub-Saharan Africa.

Data from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) indicates a 15% increase in intra-regional trade among emerging markets over the past decade, underscoring a broader global shift toward trade diversification and the strengthening of regional blocs.
According to Mario Veraldo, a logistics specialist with over three decades of experience and CEO of MTM Logix, Brazil is well-positioned to capitalize on this shifting global dynamic. “Southeast Asia and the Middle East are among the fastest-growing importers of agricultural goods, minerals, and processed foods, sectors where Brazil holds a natural competitive advantage,” he explains.
While China remains Brazil’s largest trading partner, Veraldo notes a growing openness among emerging markets. “The Middle East, for instance, is significantly increasing imports of ready-to-eat food and agricultural inputs. This is a clear opportunity for Brazil to move further up the value chain,” he adds.
Africa is also drawing attention, mainly due to its rapid population growth. However, limited purchasing power in many regions remains a challenge for broader-scale investments in the near term.

New geopolitical and logistical order
As globalization enters a more fragmented and regionalized phase, logistics strategies are becoming increasingly decentralized. Veraldo points to the emergence of what he terms “Secondary Zone Logistics Infrastructure” (SZLI), a system in which alternative ports and inland logistics hubs help ease the burden on overstretched megacenters.
“Customs clearance, for example, can now be managed inland thanks to advanced technologies, allowing for the creation of new trade corridors and reducing friction in supply chains,” says the specialist.
While predictive analytics and real-time tracking are already standard among global supply chain leaders, Veraldo believes the next frontier lies in onboarding small and medium-sized exporters. “For companies looking to break into new markets, predictive technologies are no longer optional, they are essential to remain competitive.”

Reducing dependency
Veraldo also argues for a reassessment of Brazil’s trade agreements. For him, Mexico is a successful model, by diversifying its portfolio of trade deals, the country has secured broader global market access while mitigating exposure to economic shocks.
“Brazil should pursue deeper trade engagement with Mexico, as well as with countries across the Middle East and Southeast Asia,” he says. “Doing so would not only unlock new markets but also reduce Brazil’s vulnerability to dominant global powers.”
Although Brazil remains a global leader in commodities such as agriculture and mining, it still lags in exports of higher-value goods. Veraldo sees progress in Brazil’s gradual shift from raw meat exports to value-added products like ready-to-cook foods.
“This is the right direction.

We need to replicate this strategy across other sectors, transforming raw materials into finished goods that drives job creation and broader economic development,” he explains.

Modernization
Still, one obstacle persists: bureaucracy. “While many nations are converging toward unified data standards, Brazil continues to struggle with outdated systems and regulatory inefficiencies,” Veraldo warns. “The cost of inefficiency is high, and it’s preventing us from fully integrating into next-generation global trade.”
Modernizing trade infrastructure goes beyond physical assets like roads and ports. It must also include digital systems, streamlined regulations, and tech-enabled solutions that meet the standards of today’s global buyers.
As global trade routes are redrawn, Brazil faces a critical moment. By investing in smarter logistics, forging diversified trade alliances, and expanding its value-added output, the country has the potential not only to access untapped markets, but also to elevate its position as a key player in the future of international commerce.
Source: MTM Logix

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