Canadian Pacific eyes early 2023 federal approval of KCS acquisition

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Canadian Pacific eyes early 2023 federal approval of KCS acquisition

Canadian Pacific eyes early 2023 federal approval of KCS acquisition Canadian Pacific reported first-quarter 2022 earnings on Wednesday. (Photo: /Mumemories)

Canadian Pacific still expects federal approval of its planned acquisition of Kansas City Southern to occur sometime within the next 12 months, despite a recent pause in the proceeding.

CP (NYSE: CP) anticipates that a ruling from the Surface Transportation Board will come by early 2023 at the latest, President and CEO Keith Creel told investors during CP’s first-quarter 2022 earnings call.

He also said CP would honor a 2006 joint venture between Norfolk Southern (NYSE: NSC) and KCS over the Meridian Speedway, but CP’s merger application isn’t the venue for NS to gain something that wasn’t in the initial contract.

Infrastructure in the Houston area can support the traffic of CP-KCS, Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP) and BNSF (NYSE: BRK.B), but there is room for potential investments.

“We believe that the infrastructure — if used properly, in the Houston area specifically — is more than adequate for the level of business that we believe our synergies will bring,” Creel said. “That said, should we exceed our synergies, should investment need to be made in cooperation and in partnership with BNSF and UP, there are mechanisms within those agreements now, those trackage rights agreements that allow for those investments.”

Despite lower revenue in the first quarter (see below), CP is maintaining its sales outlook for the year, saying it expects to deliver double-digit revenue ton miles growth in the back half of 2022.

Creel defended precision scheduled railroading (PSR), an approach the Class I railroads have adopted to streamline operations, although he noted that companies must regularly reassess their plans to ensure they have the infrastructure to handle the plans.

PSR is “a formula that has to be managed. It’s not going to manage itself. It has to be done in a disciplined fashion, and you have to ensure that you’ve got your assets in lockstep with what your demand is,” Creel said. “You’ve got to understand what you’re putting on your railroad. You can’t oversubscribe your railroad. … The physical assets can only do so much. You’ve got to plan and build the service design around what your physical plant is capable of handling, and it requires investment and it requires measuring and it requires the discipline to execute that.”

The service will utilize the Central Maine & Quebec Railway, which CP acquired in June 2020.

“That business alone is going to double the size of our train pair that moves between Saint John and Montreal,” Brooks said on the call. “And the neat thing about that is if you begin to think about the power of that density on that line — and what it does to the average cost per unit, what it does to the margin — that lane becomes quite powerful and frankly, only makes us more competitive on a route that we already have a 200-mile advantage against our competitor in that lane.”

Canadian Pacific’s Q1 2022 financial results

A 6% decrease in revenues put pressure on CP’s bottom line for the first quarter of 2022.

The railway reported net income of CA$590 million (US$461 million), or 63 cents per diluted share, in the first quarter of 2022, compared with $602 million, or 90 cents per diluted share, in the first quarter of 2021. All figures are in Canadian dollars.

Canadian Pacific eyes early 2023 federal approval of KCS acquisition

Expenses were $1.3 billion, an over-10% increase year-over-year.

Operating ratio (OR) grew to 70.9% from 60.2% a year ago. Investors sometimes use OR to gauge the financial health of a company, with a lower ratio implying improved financial health.

“The first quarter certainly had its challenges. It was tough in the quarter to really build any momentum in rhythm despite what I would consider a very strong demand environment,” Brooks said on the call. “However, the CP team and the sales folks and the operating folks are experienced. I can tell you we stayed focused on the task at hand, selling to the value of our franchise. And as now we come out of the work stoppage that happened at the end of March, we are seeing definite momentum building as we move through April.”