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From freight rates plummeting to daily charter rates of $80,000, the car carrier market has seen a major reversal.

中国汽车出口超预期增长,新能源汽车快速崛起。根据中国汽车工业协会数据,2026年上半年,中国汽车出口量达到509.6万辆,同比增长65.3%;其中新能源汽车出口235.5万辆,同比增长超120%,6月新能源汽车出口规模首次超过燃油乘用车。区域市场呈现多元布局,欧洲、俄罗斯、巴西、澳大利亚成为核心海外市场。 汽车运输船经历2021-2024年连续四年大量下单后,大量新船将在2024-2028年集中交付,且近两年拆船量较低,叠加中国汽车出口量增速下滑,PCC运力过剩压力浮现。PCC航运、新造船市场承压,2024年8月PCC期租运费开始断崖式下跌,船东和租家投资开始谨慎,2025年仅成交9艘新船订单。 PCC运力趋紧,租金上涨。2026年,汽车运输船市场运力出现紧张,一是中国汽车出口量超预期增长;二是红海绕行、巴拿马运河拥堵等因素持续吸收PCC船队有效运力。根据Veson预计,目前约有100万辆中国汽车因PCC运力不足,转向集装箱船运输。运力短缺快速推动PCC运价回升,2026年7月,6500车PCC期租日租金达到8万美元/天,较年初上涨68%。 汽车运输船新造船市场出现量价回升。即使当前新船船位紧张, 汽车运输船航运市场快速升温仍调动了船东投资情绪,根据克拉克森数据,截至2026年7月底,全球汽车运输船新船订单已达到34艘。同时,汽车运输船新船价格出现企稳回升趋势,2026年7月/8000车、/11000车汽车运输船新船价格分别为9100、10300万美元/艘,与去年同期持平。(供稿人:孙毅冉) 数据来源:克拉克森,中国船舶集团经济研究中心整理

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